Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosengård · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rosengård are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Utsikten are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosengård hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Ettan - Södra, while Rosengård holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosengård
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
13.2%
Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40