Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosengård · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Rosengård are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ariana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosengård hold a 58.8-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rosengård holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosengård
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Rosengård has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00