Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Rosenborg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Viking are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Viking hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 77.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Eliteserien, while Viking holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
11.3%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80