Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rosenborg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Valerenga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Valerenga hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Valerenga holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valerenga
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Valerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80