Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Start · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Rosenborg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Start are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Start hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Start holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Start
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Start has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80