Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosenborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Rosenborg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aalesund are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosenborg hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Eliteserien, while Rosenborg holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rosenborg
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Rosenborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00