GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 8/14/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosario Central · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Rosario Central are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Rosario Central holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rosario Central

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

13.9%

Rosario Central has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosario CentralWWDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CorinthiansWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rosario CentralCorinthians
50.0Attack50.0
94.4Defence50.0
72.2Form58.3
71.6Power54.6
1.51xG0.80
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