GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 7/14/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Rosario Central Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while San Lorenzo Res. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central Res. hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Reserve League, while Rosario Central Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rosario Central Res.

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosario Central Res.LLWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
San Lorenzo Res.DDLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rosario Central Res.San Lorenzo Res.
47.0Attack40.9
62.1Defence62.1
51.5Form48.5
54.7Power52.5
1.15xG0.84
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