GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rosario Central Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Rosario Central Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gimnasia Mendoza 2 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central Res. hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.4% in the Reserve League, while Rosario Central Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rosario Central Res.

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

18.4%

Rosario Central Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rosario Central Res.WLDDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia Mendoza 2WLWLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rosario Central Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
47.0Attack30.3
62.1Defence60.6
51.5Form39.4
54.7Power45.7
1.22xG0.61
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