Rosario Central Res.vs
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 5/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rosario Central Res. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central Res. hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80