Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Rops are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while TPV are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
76.3%
Model confidence
9.2%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80