Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Rops are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SalPa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60