Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Rops are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while PKKU are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
9.4%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20