Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Rops are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while OLS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20