GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 8/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Rops are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while KuPS Akatemia are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rops

Probability

81.3%

Model confidence

9.2%

Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RopsDLWDW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KuPS AkatemiaLDDLD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RopsKuPS Akatemia
74.1Attack53.7
55.6Defence22.2
61.1Form20.4
62.7Power33.7
4.14xG1.22
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