Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Rops are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JJK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
60.5%
Model confidence
60.5%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 19 · GA 11 · avg 3.80/2.20