Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
10%
LowconfidenceRops are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC jazz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and rops hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Ykkönen, favouring Rops with 9.7% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
9.7%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RopsLWDWW
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC jazzDWWLL
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RopsFC jazz
74.1Attack48.1
55.6Defence50.0
61.1Form46.3
62.7Power49.1
2.53xG1.15