GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shumbrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rodina Moskva III are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shumbrat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Shumbrat hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shumbrat

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rodina Moskva IIILLLDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ShumbratLWLWW

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Rodina Moskva IIIShumbrat
61.4Attack64.9
42.1Defence56.1
42.1Form63.2
47.1Power62.2
1.66xG2.16
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