GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rodina Moskva III · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rodina Moskva III are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Saturn Ramenskoye are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Saturn Ramenskoye hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Second League - Group 3, while Rodina Moskva III holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rodina Moskva III

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Rodina Moskva III has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rodina Moskva IIILWDWW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Saturn RamenskoyeLWLWD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Rodina Moskva IIISaturn Ramenskoye
61.4Attack52.6
42.1Defence50.9
42.1Form54.4
47.1Power54.1
1.90xG1.71
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