GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rodina Moskva III · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rodina Moskva III are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Avangard Kursk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Rodina Moskva III holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rodina Moskva III

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Rodina Moskva III has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rodina Moskva IIILDWWL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Avangard KurskWWDLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Rodina Moskva IIIAvangard Kursk
61.4Attack42.1
42.1Defence59.6
42.1Form47.4
47.1Power51.0
1.58xG1.35
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