GGOALVIO

Russia · Youth Championship · 4/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rodina Moscow U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Rodina Moscow U19 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Spartak Moskva U19 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moscow U19 hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (67.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Youth Championship, while Rodina Moscow U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rodina Moscow U19

Probability

56.6%

Model confidence

56.6%

Rodina Moscow U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rodina Moscow U19WWLLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Spartak Moskva U19WLWDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rodina Moscow U19Spartak Moskva U19
75.4Attack57.9
59.6Defence36.8
68.4Form45.6
67.1Power47.8
3.31xG1.24
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