Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rodez · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rodez are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nimes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodez hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rodez holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rodez
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Rodez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00