Rodavs
Helmond Sport
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Roda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Helmond Sport are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Helmond Sport hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Eerste Divisie, while Roda holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Roda
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
13.2%
Roda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20