Rochedale Roversvs
Moreton City Excelsior
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 6/16/2026, 9:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Rochedale Rovers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Moreton City Excelsior
Probability
67.5%
Model confidence
67.5%
Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00