GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 6/16/2026, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Rochedale Rovers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton City Excelsior

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

67.5%

Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rochedale RoversLWLWL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorDLWLW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rochedale RoversMoreton City Excelsior
51.5Attack77.3
21.2Defence47.0
31.8Form59.1
36.5Power59.9
1.68xG3.65
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