GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/6/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Rochedale Rovers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lions are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.8% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lions

Probability

84.8%

Model confidence

84.8%

Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rochedale RoversLLLWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
LionsDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rochedale RoversLions
51.5Attack86.4
21.2Defence66.7
31.8Form80.3
36.5Power77.2
1.00xG4.30
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