GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/14/2026, 8:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rochedale Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Rochedale Rovers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Brisbane Roar II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Rochedale Rovers hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Queensland NPL, while Rochedale Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rochedale Rovers

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Rochedale Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rochedale RoversLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Brisbane Roar IILLLLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Rochedale RoversBrisbane Roar II
51.5Attack48.5
21.2Defence21.2
31.8Form24.2
36.5Power33.1
2.71xG2.11
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