GGOALVIO

Japan · J3 League · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tochigi SC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Roasso Kumamoto are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tochigi SC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tochigi SC hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the J3 League, while Tochigi SC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tochigi SC

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

14.2%

Tochigi SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Roasso KumamotoDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Tochigi SCWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Roasso KumamotoTochigi SC
0.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence33.3
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.20xG1.29
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