GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RM Hamm Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

RM Hamm Benfica are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Thionville Lusitanos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and RM Hamm Benfica hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while RM Hamm Benfica holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RM Hamm Benfica

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

RM Hamm Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RM Hamm BenficaDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Thionville LusitanosLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RM Hamm BenficaThionville Lusitanos
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.97xG1.45
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