GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/16/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rizhao Yuqi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Rizhao Yuqi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Meizhou Kejia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rizhao Yuqi hold a 54.9-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the FA Cup, while Rizhao Yuqi holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rizhao Yuqi

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Rizhao Yuqi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rizhao YuqiWLDDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Meizhou KejiaLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Rizhao YuqiMeizhou Kejia
75.0Attack33.3
75.0Defence33.3
83.3Form0.0
78.6Power23.7
2.18xG0.87
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