Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rizespor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rizespor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Abha are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rizespor hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rizespor holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rizespor
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Rizespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20