GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/23/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Riverside are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 83.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.1% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

79.1%

Model confidence

79.1%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
South HobartWWWWW

GF 25 · GA 4 · avg 5.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
RiversideSouth Hobart
57.4Attack100.0
38.9Defence70.4
44.4Form87.0
46.3Power83.0
1.14xG3.83
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