GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 7/25/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Launceston City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Riverside are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Launceston City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston City hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Tasmania NPL, while Launceston City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Launceston City

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Launceston City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideLWLWD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Launceston CityWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RiversideLaunceston City
57.4Attack71.9
38.9Defence35.1
44.4Form56.1
46.3Power52.9
2.52xG2.65
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