GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/30/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kingborough Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Riverside are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kingborough Lions are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kingborough Lions hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Kingborough Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kingborough Lions

Probability

76.2%

Model confidence

76.2%

Kingborough Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kingborough LionsWWWWW

GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RiversideKingborough Lions
57.4Attack91.2
38.9Defence68.4
44.4Form75.4
46.3Power74.6
1.17xG3.57
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