GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 3/14/2026, 5:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Riverside are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Riverside hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riverside

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

55.2%

Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Glenorchy KnightsLWWLW

GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
RiversideGlenorchy Knights
57.4Attack42.6
38.9Defence38.9
44.4Form31.5
46.3Power39.0
2.49xG1.50
View match centre →