GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/11/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Riverside are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Devonport City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport City hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.2% in the Tasmania NPL, while Devonport City holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport City

Probability

76.2%

Model confidence

76.2%

Devonport City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport CityWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RiversideDevonport City
57.4Attack100.0
38.9Defence64.9
44.4Form80.7
46.3Power78.6
1.27xG3.77
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