GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 7/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Riverside · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Riverside are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Clarence Zebras are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Clarence Zebras hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (46.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Tasmania NPL, while Riverside holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Riverside

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Riverside has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RiversideWLWDL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Clarence ZebrasLDDDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
RiversideClarence Zebras
57.4Attack54.4
38.9Defence47.4
44.4Form49.1
46.3Power51.0
2.07xG1.99
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