GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/25/2026, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Lowconfidence

Riverside Olympic U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 5.80 conceded, while Somerset are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (23.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Somerset

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

6.8%

Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Riverside Olympic U21LLLWL

GF 3 · GA 29 · avg 0.60/5.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SomersetWWDLD

GF 15 · GA 16 · avg 3.00/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Riverside Olympic U21Somerset
46.3Attack74.1
0.0Defence9.3
27.8Form42.6
23.4Power39.4
2.81xG4.43
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