River Platevs
San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 5/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
River Plate are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and River Plate hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60