GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 5/16/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

River Plate are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rosario Central are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

River PlateWDWLW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rosario CentralWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
River PlateRosario Central
38.9Attack42.0
72.2Defence68.1
50.0Form59.4
54.7Power59.0
0.79xG0.65
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