River Platevs
Rosario Central
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/2/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
River Plate are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rosario Central are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20