River Platevs
Argentinos JRS
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
River Plate are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Argentinos JRS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Argentinos JRS hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
28.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80