Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Verde · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Rio Verde are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tupy FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rio Verde hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.6 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Goiano - 2, while Rio Verde holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rio Verde
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Rio Verde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00