Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Verde · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Rio Verde are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Goianésia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rio Verde hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Goiano - 2, while Rio Verde holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rio Verde
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
14.9%
Rio Verde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00