GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Rio Branco ES are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vitória ES are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitória ES hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rio Branco ESDDDWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vitória ESDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rio Branco ESVitória ES
44.4Attack36.1
55.6Defence72.2
38.9Form50.0
47.2Power54.0
0.78xG0.90
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