Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rio Ave are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Porto are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Porto hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Primeira Liga, while FC Porto holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Porto
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
13.9%
FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80