GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ahli Jeddah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rio Ave are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al-Ahli Jeddah are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ahli Jeddah hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Al-Ahli Jeddah holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ahli Jeddah

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Al-Ahli Jeddah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rio AveWWDLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Ahli JeddahLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Rio AveAl-Ahli Jeddah
38.9Attack44.4
33.3Defence66.7
22.2Form55.6
34.5Power59.1
1.29xG1.88
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