Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holstebro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ringsted are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Holstebro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstebro hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the 3. Division, while Holstebro holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Holstebro
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
10.9%
Holstebro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40