GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Pleven · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Rilski Sportist are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Spartak Pleven are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Pleven hold a 39.9-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Second League, while Spartak Pleven holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Pleven

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

13.9%

Spartak Pleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rilski SportistLLLLW

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Spartak PlevenWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rilski SportistSpartak Pleven
22.2Attack66.7
55.6Defence66.7
11.1Form77.8
32.9Power72.8
0.93xG1.43
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