GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 7/28/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rilski Sportist are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ludogorets II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets II hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Second League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rilski SportistLLWLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ludogorets IIWWLDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Rilski SportistLudogorets II
22.2Attack33.3
55.6Defence66.7
11.1Form66.7
32.9Power58.8
0.96xG1.12
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