Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Riga W are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Wrexham W are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga W hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the UEFA Champions League Women, while Riga W holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga W
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Riga W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/1.33
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/2.00